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International Energy Agency: Difference between revisions
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=== Accuracy of forecasting === | === Accuracy of forecasting === | ||
Ahead of the launch of the ''2009 [[World Energy Outlook]]'', the British daily newspaper '' | Ahead of the launch of the ''2009 [[World Energy Outlook]]'', the British daily newspaper ''The Guardian'', referring to an unidentified senior IEA official, alleged that the agency was deliberately downplaying the risk of [[peak oil]] under pressures from the US. According to a second unidentified former senior IEA official it was "imperative not to anger the Americans" and that the world has already entered the "peak oil zone".<ref name="guardian1">{{cite news |author=Terry Macalister |date=2009-11-09 |title=Key oil figures were distorted by US pressure, says whistleblower |newspaper=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/nov/09/peak-oil-international-energy-agency |access-date=2010-01-23}}</ref> | ||
''The Guardian'' also referred to a team of scientists from [[Uppsala University]] in Sweden who studied the 2008 World Energy Outlook and concluded the forecasts of the IEA were unattainable. According to their peer-reviewed report, oil production in 2030 would not exceed {{convert|75|Moilbbl/d}} while the IEA forecasts a production of {{convert|105|Moilbbl/d}}. The lead author of the report, Kjell Aleklett, has claimed that IEA's reports are "political documents".<ref name="guardian2">{{cite news |author=Terry Macalister |date=2009-11-12 |title=Oil: future world shortages are being drastically underplayed, say experts |newspaper= | ''The Guardian'' also referred to a team of scientists from [[Uppsala University]] in Sweden who studied the 2008 World Energy Outlook and concluded the forecasts of the IEA were unattainable. According to their peer-reviewed report, oil production in 2030 would not exceed {{convert|75|Moilbbl/d}} while the IEA forecasts a production of {{convert|105|Moilbbl/d}}. The lead author of the report, Kjell Aleklett, has claimed that IEA's reports are "political documents".<ref name="guardian2">{{cite news |author=Terry Macalister |date=2009-11-12 |title=Oil: future world shortages are being drastically underplayed, say experts |newspaper=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/business/2009/nov/12/oil-shortage-uppsala-aleklett |access-date=2010-01-23}}</ref> Other research from the same group has thoroughly reviewed oil projections done by the IEA World Energy Outlook.<ref name="Wachtmeister2018">{{cite journal |last1=Wachtmeister |first1=Henrik |last2=Henke |first2=Petter |last3=Höök |first3=Mikael |date=2018 |title=Oil projections in retrospect: Revisions, accuracy and current uncertainty |journal=Applied Energy |volume=220 |pages=138–153 |doi=10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.03.013 |doi-access=free|bibcode=2018ApEn..220..138W }}</ref> | ||
The anticorruption [[NGO]] [[Global Witness]] wrote in its report ''Heads in the Sand'' that "Global Witness' analysis demonstrates that the Agency continues to retain an overly-optimistic, and therefore misleading, view about potential future oil production." According to Global Witness, "the Agency's over-confidence, despite credible data, external analysis and underlying fundamentals all strongly suggesting a more precautionary approach, has had a disastrous global impact."<ref name="heads">{{cite journal |date=October 2009 |title=Heads in the Sand: Governments Ignore the Oil Supply Crunch and Threaten the Climate |url=http://www.globalwitness.org/library/heads-sand-governments-ignore-oil-supply-crunch-and-threaten-climate |format=PDF |journal=[[Global Witness]] |pages=45–47 |access-date=2011-02-19}}</ref> | The anticorruption [[NGO]] [[Global Witness]] wrote in its report ''Heads in the Sand'' that "Global Witness' analysis demonstrates that the Agency continues to retain an overly-optimistic, and therefore misleading, view about potential future oil production." According to Global Witness, "the Agency's over-confidence, despite credible data, external analysis and underlying fundamentals all strongly suggesting a more precautionary approach, has had a disastrous global impact."<ref name="heads">{{cite journal |date=October 2009 |title=Heads in the Sand: Governments Ignore the Oil Supply Crunch and Threaten the Climate |url=http://www.globalwitness.org/library/heads-sand-governments-ignore-oil-supply-crunch-and-threaten-climate |format=PDF |journal=[[Global Witness]] |pages=45–47 |access-date=2011-02-19}}</ref> | ||