American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009: Difference between revisions

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== Legislative history ==
== Legislative history ==
Both the House and the Senate versions of the bills were primarily written by [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] congressional committee leaders and their staffs.<ref>{{Cite magazine |last=Calabresi |first=Massimo |date=February 5, 2009 |title=Can Obama Regain Control of Congress's Stimulus Bill? |url=https://time.com/time/politics/article/0%2C8599%2C1877192%2C00.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090206220909/http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1877192,00.html |archive-date=February 6, 2009 |access-date=August 1, 2022 |magazine=Time}}</ref> Because work on the bills started before President Obama officially took office on January 20, 2009, top aides to President-Elect Obama held multiple meetings with committee leaders and staffers. On January 10, 2009, President-Elect Obama's administration released a report<ref name="RC">{{Citation | last1 = Romer | first1 = Christina| author-link = Christina Romer | last2 = Bernstein| first2 = Jared | author2-link = Jared Bernstein| title = The Job Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan| date = January 10, 2009| url = http://www.ampo.org/assets/library/184_obama.pdf| access-date =July 7, 2011 | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20110709043551/http://www.ampo.org/assets/library/184_obama.pdf| archive-date= July 9, 2011 | url-status= live}}</ref> that provided a preliminary analysis of the impact to jobs of some of the prototypical recovery packages that were being considered.
Both the House and the Senate versions of the bills were primarily written by Democratic congressional committee leaders and their staffs.<ref>{{Cite magazine |last=Calabresi |first=Massimo |date=February 5, 2009 |title=Can Obama Regain Control of Congress's Stimulus Bill? |url=https://time.com/time/politics/article/0%2C8599%2C1877192%2C00.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090206220909/http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1877192,00.html |archive-date=February 6, 2009 |access-date=August 1, 2022 |magazine=Time}}</ref> Because work on the bills started before President Obama officially took office on January 20, 2009, top aides to President-Elect Obama held multiple meetings with committee leaders and staffers. On January 10, 2009, President-Elect Obama's administration released a report<ref name="RC">{{Citation | last1 = Romer | first1 = Christina| author-link = Christina Romer | last2 = Bernstein| first2 = Jared | author2-link = Jared Bernstein| title = The Job Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan| date = January 10, 2009| url = http://www.ampo.org/assets/library/184_obama.pdf| access-date =July 7, 2011 | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20110709043551/http://www.ampo.org/assets/library/184_obama.pdf| archive-date= July 9, 2011 | url-status= live}}</ref> that provided a preliminary analysis of the impact to jobs of some of the prototypical recovery packages that were being considered.


=== House of Representatives assembly ===
=== House of Representatives assembly ===
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The Senate called a special Saturday debate session for February 7 at the urging of President Obama. The Senate voted, 61–36 (with 2 not voting) on February 9 to end debate on the bill and advance it to the Senate floor to vote on the bill itself.<ref>{{USSRollCall|111|1|59}}</ref> On February 10, the Senate voted 61–37 (with one not voting)<ref>Senator [[Judd Gregg]] (R) did not vote because, at the time, he was a nominee of the Democratic president to become [[United States Secretary of Commerce|Secretary of Commerce]]. Gregg also did not participate in the cloture vote.</ref>
The Senate called a special Saturday debate session for February 7 at the urging of President Obama. The Senate voted, 61–36 (with 2 not voting) on February 9 to end debate on the bill and advance it to the Senate floor to vote on the bill itself.<ref>{{USSRollCall|111|1|59}}</ref> On February 10, the Senate voted 61–37 (with one not voting)<ref>Senator [[Judd Gregg]] (R) did not vote because, at the time, he was a nominee of the Democratic president to become [[United States Secretary of Commerce|Secretary of Commerce]]. Gregg also did not participate in the cloture vote.</ref>
All the Democrats voted in favor, but only three Republicans voted in favor ([[Susan Collins]], [[Olympia Snowe]], and [[Arlen Specter]]).<ref>{{USSRollCall|111|1|60}}</ref> Specter [[party switching in the United States|switched]] to the Democratic Party later in the year. At one point, the Senate bill stood at $838 billion.<ref name="AJC Stimulus survives">{{cite news|author=David Espo |agency=[[Associated Press]] |newspaper=[[Atlanta Journal-Constitution]] |url=http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2009/02/10/stimulus0210.html |title=Stimulus bill survives Senate test |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090211230856/http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2009/02/10/stimulus0210.html |archive-date=February 11, 2009 }}</ref>
All the Democrats voted in favor, but only three Republicans voted in favor ([[Susan Collins]], [[Olympia Snowe]], and [[Arlen Specter]]).<ref>{{USSRollCall|111|1|60}}</ref> Specter [[party switching in the United States|switched]] to the Democratic Party later in the year. At one point, the Senate bill stood at $838 billion.<ref name="AJC Stimulus survives">{{cite news|author=David Espo |agency=Associated Press |newspaper=[[Atlanta Journal-Constitution]] |url=http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2009/02/10/stimulus0210.html |title=Stimulus bill survives Senate test |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090211230856/http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2009/02/10/stimulus0210.html |archive-date=February 11, 2009 }}</ref>


=== Comparison of the House, Senate and Conference versions ===
=== Comparison of the House, Senate and Conference versions ===
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Economists such as [[Martin Feldstein]], [[Daron Acemoğlu]], National Economic Council director [[Larry Summers]], and [[Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences]] winners [[Joseph Stiglitz]]<ref>[https://www.irishtimes.com/business/obama-s-800bn-stimulus-may-not-be-enough-1.1234541 Obama's $800bn stimulus may not be enough], Irish Times</ref> and [[Paul Krugman]]<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/opinion/25krugman.html | title=Stimulus Gone Bad |work=The New York Times | first=Paul | last=Krugman | date=January 25, 2008 | access-date=April 23, 2010}}</ref> favored a larger economic stimulus to counter the economic downturn. While in favor of a stimulus package, Feldstein expressed concern over the act as written, saying it needed revision to address [[consumer spending]] and unemployment more directly.<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.bostonherald.com/business/general/view/2009_01_30_Harvard_prof_slams_stimulus_plan:_Dems___800b_%E2%80%98mistake_ | title=Harvard Prof Slams Stimulus Plan | work=Boston Herald | date=January 30, 2009 | access-date=February 2, 2009 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120930112843/http://www.bostonherald.com/business/general/view/2009_01_30_Harvard_prof_slams_stimulus_plan:_Dems___800b_%E2%80%98mistake_ | archive-date=September 30, 2012 | url-status=dead | df=mdy-all }}</ref> Just after the bill was enacted, Krugman wrote that the stimulus was too small to deal with the problem, adding, "And it's widely believed that political considerations led to a plan that was weaker and contains more tax cuts than it should have – that Mr. Obama compromised in advance in the hope of gaining broad bipartisan support."<ref>{{Cite news| last = Krugman| first = Paul| author-link = Paul Krugman  | title = Failure to Rise| newspaper = The New York Times| page = A31| date = February 13, 2009| url = https://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/13/opinion/13krugman.html?_r=1| access-date =February 15, 2011}}</ref> Conservative economist [[John R. Lott|John Lott]] was more critical of the government spending.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,487425,00.html |title=Obama's Stimulus Package Will Increase Unemployment – Opinion |publisher=Fox News |date=February 3, 2009 |access-date=February 18, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090215212728/http://www.foxnews.com/story/0%2C2933%2C487425%2C00.html |archive-date=February 15, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>
Economists such as [[Martin Feldstein]], [[Daron Acemoğlu]], National Economic Council director [[Larry Summers]], and [[Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences]] winners [[Joseph Stiglitz]]<ref>[https://www.irishtimes.com/business/obama-s-800bn-stimulus-may-not-be-enough-1.1234541 Obama's $800bn stimulus may not be enough], Irish Times</ref> and [[Paul Krugman]]<ref>{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/opinion/25krugman.html | title=Stimulus Gone Bad |work=The New York Times | first=Paul | last=Krugman | date=January 25, 2008 | access-date=April 23, 2010}}</ref> favored a larger economic stimulus to counter the economic downturn. While in favor of a stimulus package, Feldstein expressed concern over the act as written, saying it needed revision to address [[consumer spending]] and unemployment more directly.<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.bostonherald.com/business/general/view/2009_01_30_Harvard_prof_slams_stimulus_plan:_Dems___800b_%E2%80%98mistake_ | title=Harvard Prof Slams Stimulus Plan | work=Boston Herald | date=January 30, 2009 | access-date=February 2, 2009 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120930112843/http://www.bostonherald.com/business/general/view/2009_01_30_Harvard_prof_slams_stimulus_plan:_Dems___800b_%E2%80%98mistake_ | archive-date=September 30, 2012 | url-status=dead | df=mdy-all }}</ref> Just after the bill was enacted, Krugman wrote that the stimulus was too small to deal with the problem, adding, "And it's widely believed that political considerations led to a plan that was weaker and contains more tax cuts than it should have – that Mr. Obama compromised in advance in the hope of gaining broad bipartisan support."<ref>{{Cite news| last = Krugman| first = Paul| author-link = Paul Krugman  | title = Failure to Rise| newspaper = The New York Times| page = A31| date = February 13, 2009| url = https://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/13/opinion/13krugman.html?_r=1| access-date =February 15, 2011}}</ref> Conservative economist [[John R. Lott|John Lott]] was more critical of the government spending.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,487425,00.html |title=Obama's Stimulus Package Will Increase Unemployment – Opinion |publisher=Fox News |date=February 3, 2009 |access-date=February 18, 2009 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090215212728/http://www.foxnews.com/story/0%2C2933%2C487425%2C00.html |archive-date=February 15, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>


On January 28, 2009, a full-page advertisement with the names of approximately 200 economists who were against Obama's plan appeared in ''The New York Times'' and ''[[The Wall Street Journal]]''. This included [[Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences]] laureates [[Edward C. Prescott]], [[Vernon L. Smith]], and [[James M. Buchanan]]. The economists denied the quoted statement by President Obama that there was "no disagreement that we need action by our government, a recovery plan that will help to jumpstart the economy". Instead, the signers believed that "to improve the economy, policymakers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth."<ref>{{cite web | url=http://cato.org/special/stimulus09/cato_stimulus.pdf | title=Cato Institute petition against Obama 2009 stimulus plan | access-date=February 9, 2009 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090203170743/http://cato.org/special/stimulus09/cato_stimulus.pdf | archive-date=February 3, 2009 | url-status=dead | df=mdy-all }}</ref> The funding for this advertisement came from the [[Cato Institute]].<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.stltoday.com/blogzone/mound-city-money/us-economy/2009/01/economists-say-stimulus-wont-work |title=Economists say stimulus won't work |date=January 29, 2009 |work=St. Louis Post-Dispatch |access-date=February 1, 2010 |archive-url=http://arquivo.pt/wayback/20090712112057/http%3A//www%2Estltoday%2Ecom/blogzone/mound%2Dcity%2Dmoney/us%2Deconomy/2009/01/economists%2Dsay%2Dstimulus%2Dwont%2Dwork/ |archive-date=July 12, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>
On January 28, 2009, a full-page advertisement with the names of approximately 200 economists who were against Obama's plan appeared in ''The New York Times'' and ''The Wall Street Journal''. This included [[Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences]] laureates [[Edward C. Prescott]], [[Vernon L. Smith]], and [[James M. Buchanan]]. The economists denied the quoted statement by President Obama that there was "no disagreement that we need action by our government, a recovery plan that will help to jumpstart the economy". Instead, the signers believed that "to improve the economy, policymakers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth."<ref>{{cite web | url=http://cato.org/special/stimulus09/cato_stimulus.pdf | title=Cato Institute petition against Obama 2009 stimulus plan | access-date=February 9, 2009 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090203170743/http://cato.org/special/stimulus09/cato_stimulus.pdf | archive-date=February 3, 2009 | url-status=dead | df=mdy-all }}</ref> The funding for this advertisement came from the [[Cato Institute]].<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.stltoday.com/blogzone/mound-city-money/us-economy/2009/01/economists-say-stimulus-wont-work |title=Economists say stimulus won't work |date=January 29, 2009 |work=St. Louis Post-Dispatch |access-date=February 1, 2010 |archive-url=http://arquivo.pt/wayback/20090712112057/http%3A//www%2Estltoday%2Ecom/blogzone/mound%2Dcity%2Dmoney/us%2Deconomy/2009/01/economists%2Dsay%2Dstimulus%2Dwont%2Dwork/ |archive-date=July 12, 2009 |url-status=live }}</ref>


On February 8, 2009, a letter to Congress signed by about 200 economists in favor of the stimulus, written by the [[Center for American Progress Action Fund]], said that Obama's plan "proposes important investments that can start to overcome the nation's damaging loss of jobs", and would "put the United States back onto a sustainable long-term-growth path".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2009/01/stimulus_letter.html|title=Letter to Congress: Economists Across the Spectrum Endorse Stimulus Package|date=January 27, 2009|work=Center for American Progress Action Fund|publisher=Center for American Progress|access-date=February 1, 2010}}</ref>  This letter was signed by Nobel Memorial laureates [[Kenneth Arrow]], [[Lawrence R. Klein]], [[Eric Maskin]], [[Daniel McFadden]], [[Paul Samuelson]] and [[Robert Solow]]. ''The New York Times'' published projections from IHS Global Insight, Moodys.com, Economy.com and Macroeconomic Advisers that indicated that the economy may have been worse without the ARRA.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/business/economy/21stimulus.html |title=New Consensus Sees Stimulus Package as Worthy Step|date=November 21, 2009 |work=The New York Times |access-date=June 6, 2011 |first1=Jackie |last1=Calmes |first2=Michael |last2=Cooper |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20110511230904/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/business/economy/21stimulus.html| archive-date= May 11, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2009/11/21/business/21stimulus_graphic.html|title=Projections Show It Could Have Been Worse|date=November 21, 2009|work=The New York Times|access-date=June 6, 2011}}</ref>
On February 8, 2009, a letter to Congress signed by about 200 economists in favor of the stimulus, written by the [[Center for American Progress Action Fund]], said that Obama's plan "proposes important investments that can start to overcome the nation's damaging loss of jobs", and would "put the United States back onto a sustainable long-term-growth path".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2009/01/stimulus_letter.html|title=Letter to Congress: Economists Across the Spectrum Endorse Stimulus Package|date=January 27, 2009|work=Center for American Progress Action Fund|publisher=Center for American Progress|access-date=February 1, 2010}}</ref>  This letter was signed by Nobel Memorial laureates [[Kenneth Arrow]], [[Lawrence R. Klein]], [[Eric Maskin]], [[Daniel McFadden]], [[Paul Samuelson]] and [[Robert Solow]]. ''The New York Times'' published projections from IHS Global Insight, Moodys.com, Economy.com and Macroeconomic Advisers that indicated that the economy may have been worse without the ARRA.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/business/economy/21stimulus.html |title=New Consensus Sees Stimulus Package as Worthy Step|date=November 21, 2009 |work=The New York Times |access-date=June 6, 2011 |first1=Jackie |last1=Calmes |first2=Michael |last2=Cooper |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20110511230904/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/business/economy/21stimulus.html| archive-date= May 11, 2011 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2009/11/21/business/21stimulus_graphic.html|title=Projections Show It Could Have Been Worse|date=November 21, 2009|work=The New York Times|access-date=June 6, 2011}}</ref>
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<blockquote>[T]he revised data ... showed that the economy was plunging even more rapidly than we had previously recognised in the two quarters following the collapse of [[Lehman Brothers|Lehman]]. Yet, the plunge stopped in the second quarter of 2009 – just as the stimulus came on line. This was followed by respectable growth over the next four quarters. Growth then weakened again as the impact of the stimulus began to fade at the end of 2010 and the start of this year.
<blockquote>[T]he revised data ... showed that the economy was plunging even more rapidly than we had previously recognised in the two quarters following the collapse of [[Lehman Brothers|Lehman]]. Yet, the plunge stopped in the second quarter of 2009 – just as the stimulus came on line. This was followed by respectable growth over the next four quarters. Growth then weakened again as the impact of the stimulus began to fade at the end of 2010 and the start of this year.


In other words, the growth pattern shown by the revised data sure makes it appear that the stimulus worked. The main problem would seem to be that the stimulus was not big enough and it wasn't left in place long enough to lift the economy to anywhere near potential output.<ref>{{Citation| last = Baker| first = Dean| author-link = Dean Baker| title = US debt deal: how Washington lost the plot| newspaper = [[The Guardian]] | date = August 1, 2011| url = https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/aug/01/us-debt-deal-washington-unemployment | access-date =August 3, 2011 | location=London}}</ref></blockquote>
In other words, the growth pattern shown by the revised data sure makes it appear that the stimulus worked. The main problem would seem to be that the stimulus was not big enough and it wasn't left in place long enough to lift the economy to anywhere near potential output.<ref>{{Citation| last = Baker| first = Dean| author-link = Dean Baker| title = US debt deal: how Washington lost the plot| newspaper = The Guardian | date = August 1, 2011| url = https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/aug/01/us-debt-deal-washington-unemployment | access-date =August 3, 2011 | location=London}}</ref></blockquote>


The [[Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee]] (DCCC) established a "Hypocrisy Hall of Fame" to list Republican Representatives who had voted against ARRA but who then sought or took credit for ARRA programs in their districts. As of September 2011, the DCCC was listing 128 House Republicans in this category.<ref>{{cite web| title = Hypocrisy Alert: 128 House Republicans Take Credit for the Economic Bills They Opposed| publisher = [[Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee]]| url = http://www.dccc.org/page/content/hhof| access-date = September 10, 2011| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110909000218/http://www.dccc.org/page/content/hhof/| archive-date = September 9, 2011| url-status = dead| df = mdy-all}}</ref> ''[[Newsweek]]'' reported that many of the Republican legislators who publicly argued that the stimulus would not create jobs were writing letters seeking stimulus programs for their districts on the grounds that the spending would create jobs.<ref>{{Citation| last = Stone | first = Daniel | title = The Tea Party Pork Binge| newspaper = [[The Daily Beast]]  | date = October 30, 2011  | url = http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/30/conseratives-brought-nation-to-default-ask-for-govt-handouts.html| access-date =November 10, 2011}}</ref>
The [[Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee]] (DCCC) established a "Hypocrisy Hall of Fame" to list Republican Representatives who had voted against ARRA but who then sought or took credit for ARRA programs in their districts. As of September 2011, the DCCC was listing 128 House Republicans in this category.<ref>{{cite web| title = Hypocrisy Alert: 128 House Republicans Take Credit for the Economic Bills They Opposed| publisher = [[Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee]]| url = http://www.dccc.org/page/content/hhof| access-date = September 10, 2011| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110909000218/http://www.dccc.org/page/content/hhof/| archive-date = September 9, 2011| url-status = dead| df = mdy-all}}</ref> ''[[Newsweek]]'' reported that many of the Republican legislators who publicly argued that the stimulus would not create jobs were writing letters seeking stimulus programs for their districts on the grounds that the spending would create jobs.<ref>{{Citation| last = Stone | first = Daniel | title = The Tea Party Pork Binge| newspaper = [[The Daily Beast]]  | date = October 30, 2011  | url = http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/10/30/conseratives-brought-nation-to-default-ask-for-govt-handouts.html| access-date =November 10, 2011}}</ref>